Algeria's diplomatic tensions: navigating isolation and foreign relations

Algeria is currently navigating a delicate diplomatic landscape, characterized by escalating tensions with various regional and global actors. This phase appears to serve as a distraction from deep-seated domestic crises, as the Algerian regime attempts to deflect attention away from pressing economic and social challenges faced by its populace.

The focus of Algeria’s diplomatic efforts has increasingly shifted towards its role in regional disputes, with notable tensions arising between Algeria and countries such as the United Arab Emirates (UAE), France, and several Sahel nations, including Mali and Burkina Faso. Such developments highlight the mounting challenges confronting Algerian foreign policy.

The Algeria–UAE escalation: a diplomatic rift

Algeria’s recent diplomatic campaign against the UAE marks an unusual escalation in relations, particularly following an incendiary editorial aired on state television. This move was prompted by a historical commentary from an Algerian historian regarding the relationship between the Amazigh and France. Rather than opting for a more conventional response, the Algerian regime escalated the issue through public media channels, indicating a strategic shift towards external confrontation.

This escalation may be an attempt to divert public attention from the domestic pressures for reform, exacerbated by economic instability and social unrest. The diplomatic strain is further accentuated by Morocco’s increasing influence in the region, which underscores Algeria’s waning regional authority.

The Arab Summit and diplomatic fallout

Notably, this diplomatic upheaval coincided with Iraq's preparations to host the Arab Summit on May 17. Activists led an online campaign urging Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune to abstain from attending the summit, suggesting that the escalating crisis with the UAE could negatively impact Algeria's representation there. Observers speculate that both Algeria and the UAE might downgrade their participation, casting a shadow over the event's potential for productive dialogue on pressing regional issues, particularly in light of the ongoing conflict in Gaza.

The conspiracy narrative and historical tensions

Since the Hirak movement, which called for the ousting of the ruling elite, the Algerian government has increasingly resorted to a conspiracy narrative to explain its internal and external crises. This strategy has led to heightened tensions with France, culminating in the expulsion of diplomats and a breakdown of trust between the two nations. Instead of confronting economic issues head-on, the regime appears more inclined to escalate tensions with Paris, further isolating itself on the international stage.

Additionally, Algeria's relations with Sahel countries have soured following accusations that Algeria downed a Malian military drone. This incident has led to a defensive posture from Algeria, which has attempted to justify its actions while facing backlash from its neighbors.

Morocco's growing influence amid Algeria's decline

As Algeria grapples with these diplomatic tensions, Morocco is steadily enhancing its regional influence. The Sahel countries are increasingly viewing Morocco as a viable partner for cooperation and development, contrasting sharply with Algeria’s isolationist approach. The longstanding conflict over Sahara continues to fuel hostilities between Algeria and Morocco, yet the latter has managed to garner international support, with numerous countries recognizing its sovereignty over the region.

Morocco’s diplomatic strategy emphasizes collaboration and development, effectively managing the complex dynamics of the Sahara issue while fostering strong ties with its neighbors. In stark contrast, Algeria appears trapped in a cycle of diplomatic setbacks that fail to align with shifting regional realities.

The path forward for Algeria

Algeria is at a crossroads, facing a multifaceted crisis that intertwines its foreign relations with domestic challenges. The current diplomatic escalations with the UAE, France, Sahel countries, and Morocco not only reflect regional tensions but also the regime's attempts to obscure the internal issues that demand urgent attention. To regain its standing on the international stage, Algeria must reassess its foreign and domestic policies, seeking pathways for cooperation and integration with its neighbors. Only through such measures can Algeria hope to restore its prestige and navigate the turbulent waters of contemporary diplomacy.