Keywords: Economic Outlook


Italy set to become eurozone’s most indebted country, overtaking Greece

Italy is on track to become the most indebted country in the eurozone, surpassing Greece for the first time in years, according to recent fiscal projections. Estimates suggest that Italy’s public debt will peak at around 138.6% of its gross domestic product (GDP) in 2026, slightly above Greece’s......

UK economy posts stronger-than-expected growth in early 2026

The United Kingdom economy recorded stronger-than-expected growth in the three months leading up to February 2026, offering a positive signal for policymakers and investors monitoring the country’s economic recovery. According to official data released by the Office for National Statistics, gross......

European Q1 earnings set to rise 4% as energy sector surges

Corporate earnings for companies in the STOXX 600 index are forecast to grow 4 percent in the first quarter of 2026, marking a rebound after a decline in the final quarter of last year, according to LSEG I/B/E/S data cited by Reuters on Thursday. The turnaround is driven primarily by a surge in the energy......

Traders anticipate possible Federal Reserve interest rate cut by September

Investors in global financial markets are increasingly betting that the Federal Reserve may begin lowering interest rates later in 2026, with many traders pointing to September as a possible timeframe for the first reduction. Market expectations shifted following the release of new inflation data in......

Unemployment rate rises to 7.9% in late 2025, highest level since 2021

France’s unemployment rate climbed to 7.9% in the fourth quarter of 2025, reaching its highest level in more than four years, according to data released on Tuesday by the national statistics agency Insee. The increase represents a rise of 0.2 percentage points compared with the previous quarter......

Fitch upgrades Türkiye outlook to positive, affirms BB- rating

Fitch Ratings revised Türkiye’s outlook to positive on Friday while maintaining its long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating at BB-. The move reflects a faster-than-expected improvement in the country’s external buffers, signaling enhanced financial stability. The international......

Morocco’s industrial activity records slight decline in November 2025

Industrial activity in Morocco experienced a slight slowdown in November 2025, according to the latest business survey released by Bank Al-Maghrib. The data point to a modest contraction in overall output, reflecting mixed performance across industrial sectors. The capacity utilization rate edged down......

China’s industrial profits slide as deflation weighs on recovery

China’s industrial sector saw a sharp drop in profits in November, reflecting persistent deflationary pressures and weakening domestic demand that continue to challenge the country’s post-pandemic recovery. Official data showed that profits for major industrial firms fell 13.1% year-on-year......

Morocco’s economic growth forecasted to reach 5% in 2025

Bank Al-Maghrib (BAM) has projected Morocco’s economic growth to hit 5% in 2025, driven by robust non-agricultural activity and a recovery in agriculture. The central bank presented this outlook during its final quarterly board meeting in Rabat. Growth is expected to remain solid in the medium......