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Dogecoin’s golden cross signals potential 38% rally amidst growing optimism
Dogecoin forms a golden cross
Dogecoin has entered a new bullish phase after forming a golden cross, an encouraging technical pattern, on August 12–13, 2025. This occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crosses above the 200-day SMA, signaling strong momentum and growing buyer interest.
The formation of this pattern has sparked speculation among traders and analysts about the possibility of a significant price rally in the coming weeks. Historically, Dogecoin has responded positively to such signals.
Lessons from past golden crosses
Historically, golden crosses have proven significant for Dogecoin’s price action. The most recent instance in November 2024 saw Dogecoin surge by more than 130% within a month. Looking further back, a golden cross in 2020 led to gains exceeding 1,000% over several months.
While history doesn’t guarantee future performance, these examples underline how the meme coin has reacted strongly to this technical indicator in the past.
Why analysts predict a 38% rally
Analysts forecasting a 38% rally highlight key technical and market dynamics. Dogecoin recently broke through the $0.25 resistance level, which now serves as critical support. Holding above this level could pave the way for further gains.
Additionally, “whales,” or large holders, have been accumulating Dogecoin in recent weeks. This accumulation reduces market supply, creating upward pressure on the price. Furthermore, technical charts reveal bullish patterns, including flags and Fibonacci retracements, which suggest continued growth is possible.
Barriers to the rally
Despite the optimism, analysts caution that the rally may not be smooth. Some indicators already show that Dogecoin is overbought, which could result in price corrections before any further gains.
External factors, including U.S. interest rate changes, regulatory uncertainty, or a broader crypto market downturn, could also impact Dogecoin’s momentum. Key resistance levels at $0.28 and $0.42 remain critical. If these thresholds are not breached, the rally could lose steam or even reverse.
Possible price targets
If momentum holds, traders are closely watching $0.28 as the next significant price target. Should the rally extend over the next one to two months, forecasts suggest a range between $0.40 and $0.50.
In an exceptionally bullish scenario, where adoption increases and the crypto market experiences a broader rally, analysts speculate that Dogecoin could revisit the $1 mark. Although ambitious, this projection is informed by past rallies that were triggered by similar technical signals.
Key takeaways for traders
The golden cross represents an exciting opportunity for Dogecoin investors, but it comes with inherent risks. Current holders may benefit from potential gains but should brace for volatility. New buyers are advised to wait for confirmation of the breakout’s sustainability before entering the market.
As always, risk management remains essential. While technical patterns like the golden cross can indicate potential trends, they are not guarantees of future price action.